Tuesday, October 2, 2007

What color is in between red and blue?

I never claimed to be an expert on colors. But I know if you mix red and blue it makes violet. That's a color you don't hear much about in the political arena. "It's a violet state." Haven't heard that one yet!

However, some polls and research are now showing many southern states seen as "Red" are slowly turning to "Violet."

See the following article from InsiderAdvantage Georgia:

How 'Red' Will Georgia Be In Next Year's Presidential Race? Maybe Not As Red As Some Expect

(7/18/07) How “red” will Georgia be in next year’s presidential primary? Maybe not as red as conventional wisdom might suggest.

We asked this question of 1,081 registered voters during the period July 12-14, and weighted the survey for age, race and gender:

Q. Are you more likely to vote in next year’s Republican or Democratic Presidential primary in Georgia?

Here’s what they said:

Democrat: 39%
Republican 37%
No Opinion/Don’t Know: 24%

The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.

The big story in this survey is with voters who describe themselves as independent.

Independent voters who already had made a choice said they preferred the Democratic primary by a 25 percent to 20 percent margin. More importantly, however, while most Republicans and Democrats stated that they would vote in their own party’s primary, over 53 percent of independents said they were undecided.

“This means that independent voters, who have for the past few election cycles trended towards the GOP, are less decided as to which party they prefer,” said InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery.

“Independents make up a huge portion of the vote in Georgia and many other large Southern states. Whether this is a trend or not will only be established as we see these independent voters starting to choose a primary or simply decide to sit the primaries out.’


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What's my point you may ask? Well Sen. Clinton is the candidate we need for the South in my opinion. Am I saying that we should expect Clinton to sweep the South? No, I don't think that's going to happen so suddenly, it will take time to win back the South. However, Howard Dean has been embarking on a "50-state strategy" for the DNC, and it will continue in the Presidential election. It's a good strategy, if you alienate every state in the South other than Florida, you will never win the South.

Many think of the South as so far out of reach that it's not worth bothering with. Don't forget that Bill Clinton won Georgia, Louisiana, Arkansas, Kentucky, West Virginia, and came very close in Kansas in 1992. Hillary Clinton should be able to carry Arkansas, possibly Florida, if things keep going well regarding her public image as they have been she could pick up even more southern states.

Some of these Southern states are coming back around. They aren't that far out of reach. For instance, Georgia has never had a Republican Governor since before reconstruction until Sonny Perdue was elected in 2002. The south is within our reach, and Hillary is the one to do it!

-Chris McLeod-

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