Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Clinton Leads Giuliani in Swing States

So listen, what we already knew is making headlines. We all knew Hillary Clinton could beat Giuliani in the General Election. In fact I've always believed she's the best candidate to beat him. Of course we don't know that he will be the Republican nominee, as he is behind in some of the key primary states, although he's ahead nationally. However, presuming Clinton is the Democratic nominee (and I think we have good reason to feel good that that may be the case), and Giuliani is the Republican nominee, Clinton is doing well matched up against him!

Check out the following new stats. I got this link from Huffingtonpost.com :

From Quinnepec University:
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x2882.xml?ReleaseID=1109

October 10, 2007 - Clinton Express Rolls Through Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll Finds --- FLORIDA: Clinton 46 - Giuliani 43; OHIO: Clinton 46 - Giuliani 40; PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 48 - Giuliani 42

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is overwhelming Illinois Sen. Barack Obama and the rest of the Democratic primary field, and slowly increasing her lead over New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, the Republican front-runner, in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, according to Quinnipiac University's Swing State Poll, three simultaneous surveys of voters in states that have been pivotal in presidential elections since 1964.

Sen. Clinton's support appears to be as deep as it is wide. In Ohio, 74 percent of her supporters say they are not too likely or not likely at all to change their mind. In Florida, 59 percent of her supporters are unlikely to change their mind; in Pennsylvania it's 56 percent.

Giuliani voters are less committed, as no more than 39 percent in any state say they are unlikely to change their mind.

Clinton and Giuliani dominate their party primaries in each state, even though voters say Obama and Arizona Sen. John McCain are more principled in their decision-making.

Matchups by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds:
  • Florida: Clinton tops Giuliani 46 - 43 percent, breaking a 44 - 44 percent tie September 12;
  • Ohio: Clinton tops Giuliani 46 - 40 percent, compared to 47 - 40 percent September 6;
  • Pennsylvania: Clinton beats Giuliani 48 - 42 percent, up from 46 - 44 percent August 23.
"The news just keeps getting better for Sen. Clinton. She has a Democratic primary lead over Sen. Obama ranging from 27 to 34 points in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania and is widening her margin over the Republican hopefuls in each of those three critical states," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The candidates who trail Sen. Clinton and hope that they can pry voters away from her should wake up and smell the coffee. Not only is she far, far ahead, but a much greater share of her voters say they are unlikely to change their minds than those committed to other Democrats. This should not be any surprise. Sen. Clinton has been a favorite of Democratic activists for the past 15 years and benefits greatly from being Bill Clinton's wife - since he is probably the most popular Democrat in America," Brown added.

Many Democrats think Clinton has the nomination "locked up," 44 percent in Florida, 43 percent in Ohio and 31 percent in Pennsylvania.

Very few Republican voters think Giuliani has the nomination "locked up," 14 percent in Florida, 11 percent in Ohio and 15 percent in Pennsylvania.

"Mayor Giuliani's lead over his Republican counterparts remains stable, but the vast, vast majority of Republicans don't believe he has the nomination locked up, and even six in ten of his supporters say they are somewhat or very likely to change their mind," Brown said.

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More numbers and stats can be found at the link!

Chris McLeod
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Tuesday, October 9, 2007

Funniest Hillary Campaign Video Yet

Rob Reiner: Action!
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Monday, October 8, 2007

Hillary On Target on Iran, Obama dazed and confused..

Look guys. I consider myself a loyal Democrat. I would support whatever Democrat wins the primary. But there's a reason I support Hillary Clinton above the pack. She knows what she means, means what she says, is strong and firm, and has the credentials to back it all up.

When Barack Obama did the keynote speech at the 2004 Democratic Convention, I saw him as a "rising star" in the Democratic Party. Well folks, 2004 was not even 4 yrs ago. He's still rising, and still figuring some things out. Hillary Clinton has it all figured out!

Barack Obama has joined John Edwards in attacking Clinton on her vote for the Kyl-Lieberman Amendment, labeling Iran's Revolutionary Guard as a terrorist organization. What everyone is forgetting, and maybe Obama doesn't know because he didn't even show up to vote yes or no on this bill, is that it doesn't give President Bush or any President the authority to go to War with Iran. She only voted for this bill after certain language was removed, that did insinuate authorization for war. This language was removed from the version Clinton voted "Yes" on.

The Clinton Campaign has released the following statement regarding Obama's attacks:

"It's unfortunate that Senator Obama is resorting to the same old attack politics as his poll numbers start falling. He knows that Senator Clinton was one of the first in Congress to say that Bush must seek an explicit authorization from Congress for any military action against Iran and that she is the lead co-sponsor of legislation by Jim Webb to prohibit funds for military action in Iran without approval from Congress. A flagging campaign is not an excuse to distort anyone’s record."


It is interesting that Obama conveniently missed this very important vote. If he was so against it, why didn't he show up to vote against it? It's obvious that he skipped the vote so he could use it for future campaign attacks against Clinton. Now he doesn't have to be held accountable on Iran one way or another. That's not doing what one thinks is in the best interest of the country. He didn't want to be attacked for voting against it, so he felt it easier to not vote at all. The safe way out! It's also interesting that Sen. Clinton is really the one being the positive campaigner here. I thought Obama was going to lead a "different" kind of campaign? How often do you hear Hillary attacking Obama? It's just not happening. She's leading a campaign educating voters on her record, and what kind of President she will be.

Unfortunately for him, he's getting desperate now, and resorting to unfounded attacks on Hillary's record, because he's finally feeling the vulnerability in this race. A word to the wise: it shows when you get desperate.

-Chris McLeod-
Posted by Chris McLeod at 6:17 PM 1 CLICK HERE TO COMMENT

Thursday, October 4, 2007

CNN: With majority support, Hillary passes major milestone

I've posted some excerpts today from today's CNNarticle on Hillary Clinton's milestone in this election. We've got a long way to go before January, and especially before November - so don't get lazy or too comfortable ever, but the news is only getting better! This is significant news for the Hillary for President campaign!


From Bill Schneider
CNN senior political analyst

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Why is the latest ABC News-Washington Post poll released Wednesday different from all other polls? Because it shows Sen. Hillary Clinton passing a significant political milestone.

For the first time, a majority of Democrats nationwide supports Clinton for their party's nomination. Clinton's support in the Washington Post-ABC News poll jumped 12 points from last month, to 53 percent. She's 33 points ahead of her closest competitor, Sen. Barack Obama.

That establishes Clinton as the clear national front-runner. Being front-runner means being a target of criticism from other Democrats.

But does it mean she's likely to get the nomination?

Well, yes, if you look at the record. Which CNN did going back to the 1980 election. Every candidate who has gotten majority support in polls taken the year before the election has gone on to win the nomination.

Al Gore and George Bush both reached 50 percent in their parties in 1999. So did Bob Dole in 1995, George H.W. Bush in 1991 and 1987, and Walter Mondale in 1983.

What's behind the Clinton surge? Fifty-seven percent of Democrats think she's the candidate with the best chance to win the White House. That number went up 14 points in September. She also leads as the candidate who best reflects the Democratic Party's values.

The ABC News-Post poll is a national poll. National polls mean more than they used to. That's because of the frontloaded campaign calendar. The country is moving closer and closer to a national primary.
The ABC News-Post polls, conducted September 27-30, had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points and involved telephone interviews with a national random sample of 1,114 adults.

----

-Chris McLeod-
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-Sen. Clinton responds to Bush's veto of SCHIP expansion
-Giuliani, hypocrite, attacks Sen. Clinton
-What color is in between red and blue?
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Wednesday, October 3, 2007

Sen. Clinton responds to Bush's veto of SCHIP expansion

Hillary Clinton commented today about Bush's veto of the bi-partisan bill expanding SCHIP. Democrats aligned with many Republicans to vote on a veto proof bill in the Senate, and sent it to Bush to sign. Unfortunately the House version of the bill came short of the needed votes to override President Bush's veto. It's unlikely Democrats/Republicans will be able to get enough Representatives in the House to support the bill when it comes back up on Oct. 17 .

However, hopefully the House leadership pressures those Representatives and fights this. There's still hope for millions of uninsured kids!

From Hillary Clinton:

"With the stroke of a pen, President Bush has robbed nearly four million uninsured children of the chance for a healthy start in life and the health coverage they need but can't afford. These children are invisible to this president, but they aren't invisible to the American people or to the overwhelming bipartisan majority in Congress - and they aren't invisible to me."

"I was proud to help create the Children's Health Insurance Program during the Clinton Administration, which today provides health insurance for six million children. In New York alone, almost 400,000 children benefit from CHIP every month. The president's veto today stopped us from insuring an additional 3.8 million children, including 72,000 more children in New York.

"I will continue to fight to provide health insurance to all children - as I have proposed in the Senate - and to pursue quality, affordable health care for all Americans. No child should be invisible in our country or in our health care system."

(source : www.hillaryclinton.com)
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Chris McLeod
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Giuliani, hypocrite, attacks Sen. Clinton

Giuliani is really getting desperate. He's losing support from conservative leaders by the day, and instead of fighting the right way to win the Republican primary, he's attacking Sen. Hillary Clinton to try to convince Republicans he's the one to beat Hillary.

First off, the obvious point is that we are still in the primary, and Giuliani is already spending resources on trying to attack Clinton. We all have heard these baseless Clinton attacks before. Republicans, especially Giuliani are trying to avoid talk of their positions on real issues, by running the usual attack smear campaign. Well guess what guys, whatever they want to say, it's already been said about Hillary before. She can stand up to any criticism with the best of them.

According to the AP:

"Republican Rudy Giuliani compared Hillary Rodham Clinton to 1972 Democratic nominee George McGovern on Wednesday and chided his rival for adding a Southern lilt to her voice as he intensified his criticism."

First of all Clinton lived a great portion of her life in Arkansas, and yes, I can tell you sometimes when you go back to those areas, you do pick up a little bit of the accent again. I was born, raised and lived most of my life deep in the South. I live in California now, but sometimes when I go back or even talk to family on the phone I can hear myself slip into an accent sometimes.

Also from the AP about Giuliani's latest attacks against Clinton:

"Adding to the perception that she's unstoppable, Clinton picked up the endorsement of the 1.4 million-member American Federation of Teachers, increasing her union nods to six.

Other candidates trying to topple the two national front-runners courted voters in early voting states.

Three months before voting begins, polls show Clinton solidifying her months-long advantage for the Democratic nomination while the Republican race remains fluid. Giuliani, the former New York mayor, leads in national surveys, but GOP rivals Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson and John McCain are in strong contention in various key states.

Positioning himself as the one Republican able to thwart another Clinton presidency, Giuliani lambasted Clinton's recent comments about giving a $5,000 savings bond to every U.S.-born baby.

"It's interesting that Hillary is taking something from the George McGovern playbook," Giuliani said in Manchester, N.H., likening her idea to the former South Dakota senator's proposal to send $1,000 to every U.S. resident.

In the 1972 election, Giuliani liked McGovern and his ideas enough to vote for him for president. The liberal lawmaker lost in a landslide to President Nixon.

Without naming Clinton, Giuliani also alluded to an appearance this past spring in Selma, Ala., in which she slipped into what sounded like a Southern accent before a largely black audience.

Asked by reporters whether he can win religious conservative votes, Giuliani said: "I don't have a different program for one group or another. I don't have a different accent for different parts of the country."

Clinton spokesman Phil Singer responded: "It's unfortunate that the mayor's entire campaign is premised on attacking others instead of talking about what he would do if elected."


HOPEFULLY VOTERS WON'T FORGET THAT RUDY GIULIANI VOTED FOR MCGOVERN IN '72. NOW IN 2007 HE'S ATTACKING HILLARY FOR BEING LIKE MCGOVERN.

Where DOES Mr. Giuliani stand on the issues? He changes his mind so often it's hard to keep up!

-Chris McLeod-
Posted by Chris McLeod at 4:42 PM 2 CLICK HERE TO COMMENT

Tuesday, October 2, 2007

What color is in between red and blue?

I never claimed to be an expert on colors. But I know if you mix red and blue it makes violet. That's a color you don't hear much about in the political arena. "It's a violet state." Haven't heard that one yet!

However, some polls and research are now showing many southern states seen as "Red" are slowly turning to "Violet."

See the following article from InsiderAdvantage Georgia:

How 'Red' Will Georgia Be In Next Year's Presidential Race? Maybe Not As Red As Some Expect

(7/18/07) How “red” will Georgia be in next year’s presidential primary? Maybe not as red as conventional wisdom might suggest.

We asked this question of 1,081 registered voters during the period July 12-14, and weighted the survey for age, race and gender:

Q. Are you more likely to vote in next year’s Republican or Democratic Presidential primary in Georgia?

Here’s what they said:

Democrat: 39%
Republican 37%
No Opinion/Don’t Know: 24%

The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.

The big story in this survey is with voters who describe themselves as independent.

Independent voters who already had made a choice said they preferred the Democratic primary by a 25 percent to 20 percent margin. More importantly, however, while most Republicans and Democrats stated that they would vote in their own party’s primary, over 53 percent of independents said they were undecided.

“This means that independent voters, who have for the past few election cycles trended towards the GOP, are less decided as to which party they prefer,” said InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery.

“Independents make up a huge portion of the vote in Georgia and many other large Southern states. Whether this is a trend or not will only be established as we see these independent voters starting to choose a primary or simply decide to sit the primaries out.’


------------------------------

What's my point you may ask? Well Sen. Clinton is the candidate we need for the South in my opinion. Am I saying that we should expect Clinton to sweep the South? No, I don't think that's going to happen so suddenly, it will take time to win back the South. However, Howard Dean has been embarking on a "50-state strategy" for the DNC, and it will continue in the Presidential election. It's a good strategy, if you alienate every state in the South other than Florida, you will never win the South.

Many think of the South as so far out of reach that it's not worth bothering with. Don't forget that Bill Clinton won Georgia, Louisiana, Arkansas, Kentucky, West Virginia, and came very close in Kansas in 1992. Hillary Clinton should be able to carry Arkansas, possibly Florida, if things keep going well regarding her public image as they have been she could pick up even more southern states.

Some of these Southern states are coming back around. They aren't that far out of reach. For instance, Georgia has never had a Republican Governor since before reconstruction until Sonny Perdue was elected in 2002. The south is within our reach, and Hillary is the one to do it!

-Chris McLeod-
Posted by Chris McLeod at 9:47 PM 0 CLICK HERE TO COMMENT

Polls prove Hillary is the candidate to beat in the general election

Despite the common myth that Hillary can win the primary but never a general election, she is (according to the polls) the best one to beat the Republicans should she win the nomination. A lot of people like to ignore polls, but when polls from Fox News to CNN to Rasmussen all indicate the same trends, the truth can't be ignored.

It's spin if you ask me. This nonsense about Hillary not being electable. Obama supporters (some of them I will say) try to portray Hillary as unelectable, and Republicans have been trying to do their own reverse psychology on voters too. The truth is in the numbers, and she's ahead.

Go to Real Clear Politics for more info:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/national.html

And check it out:

They take an average of 5 major polls that pit candidates from both parties together. Overall she leads Giuliani by +5%, Obama only leads Giuliani by +.6%.

She leads Fred Thompson by +10.7%, while Obama leads Thompson by +9.7%

She leads Mccain by +4.6%, while Obama leads Mccain by +3.7%

She leads Mitt Romney by +11.7%, while Obama is close and leads Romney by +11.4%

-Chris McLeod-
Posted by Chris McLeod at 9:22 PM 0 CLICK HERE TO COMMENT
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